Bitcoin Price Analysis: Slow Upward Drift Tests Market Supply

A slow, grinding upward drift has been the name of the game for bitcoin’s market over the last few weeks. The upward drift is bringing us slowly to a level that was previously rejected violently:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Slow Upward Drift Tests Market Supply. Figure 1

Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Upward Drift

Our third rejection of the red resistance level shown above brought the market into a test of macro support in the mid-$3,000s. After several tests of the support level, the market began to slowly drift upward in a stair-stepping manner. This upward drift is a change of character in price action. Prior to this drift, the market was quite volatile, with both upward and downward impulses. The three prior rejected tests shot into the level aggressively (a sign of strong demand) but got spat out aggressively (a sign of strong supply). Our fourth time is quite different, though — rather than shoving into the level aggressively, it is slowly grinding. Slow upward grinds are often a sign of weakening supply and persistent demand.

So far, our market has managed to hold macro support and has even managed to hold above the previously rejected level (outlined in black in Figure 1). Now, we are beginning to see the real test of supply as we enter the prior levels that were rejected:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Slow Upward Drift Tests Market Supply. Figure 2

Figure 2: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Prior Rejected Levels

If we look at the rejected levels individually, we can form discrete layers of resistance that the market will need to overcome if the bulls are going to overwhelm the market’s supply. At the time of this writing, we are in the process of testing the lowest level (shown by the red dashed line in Figure 2). A decisive close above that level would be a nice step as this slow grind is trapping more and more shorters that are beginning to fade the market move. If the market clears the lowest low, it will then enter into the red zone outlined above. This zone will likely see a lot of volatility as it has historically been a strong point of resistance. However, something to note is that this level is also a logical place for short-sellers to place their stops. If we see a strong move into this level, it’s entirely possible that we’ll see a short squeeze as shorters begin to close out their positions (willfully or forcefully).

Another characteristic of this drift that is important to note is the volume. The volume throughout this drift has been constant and the selling pressure has been relatively weak:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Slow Upward Drift Tests Market Supply.Figure 3

Figure 3: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Constant Volume

Steady volume accompanied by upward-drifting markets is often a sign of not only bearish exhaustion, but also supply absorption. Supply absorption is simply the act of soaking market supply like a sponge without aggressively pushing the market upward. It’s a passive accumulation technique that baits people into selling prematurely.

While we are still in the process of testing overhead resistance, this change of character in our market looks pretty bullish. The bullish trend will slowly confirm itself over the next few days/weeks if we manage to clear the overhead levels outlined above. For now, we need to see how the market reacts to all of the overhead levels and how the market treats bearish pressure. If we manage to close above the overhead resistance level, there is very little stopping the market from breaking out and seeing a sizable markup in price.

Summary:

  1. The market has continued its slow upward drift into overhead resistance. Slowly but surely, we are testing all the resistance.
  2. This upward drift is a change of character as the market has seen strong bouts of volatility leading into the drift. Now, however, we are grinding upward through each discrete resistance level.
  3. If we manage to close above the band of overhead resistance, we can expect to see a strong continuation of the uptrend as this would represent a break of market structure, and a breakout of strong overhead resistance.

Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on Bitcoin Magazine and BTC Inc sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTC Inc and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Slow Upward Drift Tests Market Supply 1
About the author

E-Crypto News was developed to assist all cryptocurrency investors in developing profitable cryptocurrency portfolios through the provision of timely and much-needed information. Investments in cryptocurrency require a level of detail, sensitivity, and accuracy that isn’t required in any other market and as such, we’ve developed our databases to help fill in information gaps.

Related Posts

E-Crypto News Executive Interviews



bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 43,515.00
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 3,058.87
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 2.20
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 0.997511
binance-coin
Binance Coin (BNB) $ 370.92
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 0.971806
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 143.69
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 30.65
usd-coin
USD Coin (USDC) $ 1.00
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.218578
USD
EUR
GBP
bitcoinBitcoin (BTC)
$ 43,515.00
ethereumEthereum (ETH)
$ 3,058.87
tetherTether (USDT)
$ 0.997511
bitcoin-cashBitcoin Cash (BCH)
$ 534.73
litecoinLitecoin (LTC)
$ 157.70
bitcoinBitcoin (BTC)
37.106,33
ethereumEthereum (ETH)
2.608,37
tetherTether (USDT)
0,850603
bitcoin-cashBitcoin Cash (BCH)
455,98
litecoinLitecoin (LTC)
134,47
bitcoinBitcoin (BTC)
31,785.53
ethereumEthereum (ETH)
2,234.35
tetherTether (USDT)
0.728632
bitcoin-cashBitcoin Cash (BCH)
390.59
litecoinLitecoin (LTC)
115.19

Automated trading with HaasBot Crypto Trading Bots

Crypto Scams

Crypto Scams
Crypto Scams Still Persistent In 2021, SEC Warns About Red Flags To Watch
September 9, 2021
Poly Network
Here’s How Hackers Stole Over $600 million in the Poly Network Attack
August 12, 2021
The World’s Most Infamous Crypto Hacks and Scams
July 31, 2021
Cryptocurrency Exchanges
Cryptocurrency Exchanges and the Plague of Scams and Bans
June 29, 2021
What Role Do Cryptocurrencies Play In The Era Of Ransomware Attacks?
June 9, 2021

Blockchain/Cryptocurrency Questions and Answers

Beginner’s Guide to Investing in Cryptocurrency
August 9, 2021
Short-Sell Cryptocurrency
How to Short-Sell Cryptocurrency: A Brief Overview
July 17, 2021
Klaytn
What Is Klaytn (KLAY) And How Does It Work?
July 16, 2021
Cryptocurrencies
Our Crypto Roundup Interview Asks- Do Cryptocurrencies Have a Future?
July 15, 2021
Solana
What Is Solana (SOL) And How Does It Work?
June 26, 2021


CryptoCurrencyUSDChange 1hChange 24hChange 7d
Bitcoin43,654 0.29 % 3.69 % 9.41 %
Ethereum3,070.1 0.21 % 5.82 % 14.62 %
Cardano2.200 0.44 % 4.77 % 11.83 %
Tether0.9986 0.03 % 0.08 % 0.23 %
Binance Coin371.65 0.38 % 3.60 % 13.55 %
XRP0.9783 0.23 % 6.10 % 12.56 %
Solana144.70 0.49 % 12.16 % 8.76 %
Polkadot30.87 2.19 % 17.29 % 10.73 %
USD Coin1.000 0.19 % 0.21 % 0.00 %
Dogecoin0.2201 0.27 % 5.25 % 11.02 %

bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 43,515.00
ethereum
Ethereum (ETH) $ 3,058.87
cardano
Cardano (ADA) $ 2.20
tether
Tether (USDT) $ 0.997511
binance-coin
Binance Coin (BNB) $ 370.92
xrp
XRP (XRP) $ 0.971806
solana
Solana (SOL) $ 143.69
polkadot
Polkadot (DOT) $ 30.65
usd-coin
USD Coin (USDC) $ 1.00
dogecoin
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.218578